By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
Another week with plenty of movement (although perhaps less than last week) and another change at the top of the leaderboard. Here are the JTR Quarterback Rankings brought to you by myself, James Bayse (@jbayse1), and Tony Papol (@SGEasty).
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by their comparison to the league average using as unbiased stats as possible. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index attempts to exclude sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future, only measure what a player has done up to that point.
Note: This is a complicated system that is difficult to explain in an easily digestible way. If you have more questions about how it works, please reach out. We would be more than happy to answer your questions.
JTR QB Rankings
|Rank (Last Week)||Player||Team||JTR Score (Change)|
|1 (3)||Moses King||Kentucky||95.870 (+0.737)|
|2 (2)||Ryan Moreland||Oklahoma State||92.804 (-3.042)|
|3 (1)||Ludwig Friedman||Eastern Michigan||91.875 (-7.580)|
|4 (4)||Sam Dobbins||Michigan||87.632 (+0.199)|
|5 (7)||Derrick Power||Oklahoma||83.919 (+3.494)|
|6 (11)||Logan Radloff||Ohio State||82.886 (+5.83)|
|7 (5)||Mateo Walker||Miami||81.742 (-0.086)|
|8 (8)||Del Toro||Ohio||81.764 (+2.474)|
|9 (9)||Ryan Ravenhill||Florida State||78.821 (+0.773)|
|10 (13)||Baker Thomas||Auburn||78.121 (+3.326)|
|11 (6)||Cece Range||Alabama||76.521 (-4.736)|
|12 (10)||Avery Ware||Texas||75.592 (-2.337)|
|13 (12)||Topher Foreman||Boise State||74.449 (-0.944)|
|14 (19)||Leisa Pink||Bowling Green||70.421 (+8.177)|
|15 (14)||Tony Ellis||West Virginia||68.955 (-3.505)|
|16 (18)||Ray Flash||Georgia||67.826 (-0.295)|
|17 (16)||McKade Alber||Toledo||65.749 (-5.615)|
|18 (21)||Terry Olliff||Northern Illinois||64.869 (+6.392)|
|19 (17)||Tobias Johnson||Kent State||64.364 (-6.164)|
|20 (20)||Loki Gunderson||Clemson||62.542 (+3.232)|
|21 (15)||Helix Myers||Pittsburgh||62.719 (-9.666)|
|22 (24)||Ayden Martinez||North Carolina||61.244 (+6.696)|
|23 (23)||Charlie Sammons||Notre Dame||58.584 (+3.737)|
|24 (22)||Dylan Shumate||Illinois||54.117 (-3.917)|
|25 (25)||Shaker Mayflower||Florida||53.250 (-0.810)|
|26 (26)||Brantley Gauci||Oregon||51.371 (+0.713)|
In a weird twist of events, the same flip of the leaderboard that happened last week happened again this week. Last week Ludwig Friedman jumped from three to one, switching places with Moses King. The exact opposite happened this week. This makes the Kentucky Monarch the first quarterback to hold the position of the top JTR QB twice.
This week’s largest positive change (and thus earning the featured picture) was the CFSL’s only female quarterback. Bowling Green’s Leisa Pink saw an eight-point jump in her JTR score thanks to 370 yard, six-touchdown performance. That bump in her score moved her five spots up the leaderboard.
While Pink had the largest positive change in her JTR score, there was another quarterback that moved up five spots on the leaderboard this week. Ohio State’s Logan Radloff jumped from 11th last week to sixth this week. This was thanks to a stellar rushing performance against Clemson this week. Radloff took 17 carries for 138 yards and two touchdowns last week.
We saw slightly less movement this week than we have in weeks past. This is what we expected. Since this metric is judging a player’s entire season, the farther you get into the season the less each week means to the total. However, great games (and horrible ones) will still earn a player significant movement on the leaderboard.
Last week it was noted that the bottom was rising. That trend continued this week as 26th place set a new high for that ranking. This is the second straight week that no quarterback scored less than 50. That had never happened before last week.
Lastly, every week we have talked about the quarterbacks that are positive in every stat category. Only three players (Walker, Moreland, and Friedman) earned that distinction. Now, only two remain above the average player in every stat category. Mateo Walker and Ludwig Friedman both stay on the list as Ryan Moreland falls off. Walker and Friedman have both been on this list every week they were included on the list. This is the first time Moreland failed to meet this mark.