By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by their comparison to the league average using as unbiased stats as possible. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index attempts to exclude sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.
Note: This is a complicated system that is difficult to explain in an easily digestible way. If you have more questions about how it works, please reach out. We would be more than happy to answer your questions.
JTR Rankings
| Rank (Last Week) | Player | Team | JTR Rankings (Change) |
| 1 (7) | Cece Range | Alabama | 99.843 (+16.356) |
| 2 (4) | Baker Thomas | Auburn | 88.318 (-5.136) |
| 3 (3) | Loki Gunderson | Clemson | 85.748 (-4.934) |
| 4 (1) | Charlie Sammons | Notre Dame | 83.074 (-13.259) |
| 5 (12) | Tony Ellis | West Virginia | 82.562 (+7.377) |
| 6 (18) | Kyson Carey | Bowling Green | 80.769 (-10.436) |
| 7 (5) | Aiden Martinez | North Carolina | 80.688 (-12.690) |
| 8 (16) | Sam Dobbins | Boise State | 79.799 (+11.363) |
| 9 (23) | Derrick Power | Oklahoma | 79.658 (+29.015) |
| 10 (19) | Del Toro | Ohio | 79.034 (+15.554) |
| 11 (6) | Ludwig Friedman | Georgia | 76.211 (-14.471) |
| 12 (2) | Helix Myers | Pittsburgh | 74.789 (-20.552) |
| 13 (8) | Ryan Ravenhill | Florida State | 71.920 (-11.402) |
| 14 (14) | Mateo Walker | Miami | 70.632 (+0.236) |
| 15 (20) | Brantley Gauci | Oregon | 70.340 (+8.468) |
| 16 (9) | Topher Foreman | Michigan | 69.097 (-12.385) |
| 17 (11) | Avery Ware | Texas | 68.141 (-8.165) |
| 18 (13) | McKade Alber | Toledo | 66.151 (-10.519) |
| 19 (15) | Moses King | Kentucky | 64.378 (-5.090) |
| 20 (21) | Greg Cooksey | Eastern Michigan | 63.796 (+3.326) |
| 21 (10) | Beau Dale | Florida | 60.640 (-15.740) |
| 22 (25) | Dylan Shumate | Illinois | 59.450 (+17.262) |
| 23 (24) | Shaker Mayflower | Kent State | 58.975 (+10.203) |
| 24 (17) | Logan Radloff | Ohio State | 54.312 (-10.512) |
| 25 (22) | Ryan Moreland | Oklahoma State | 53.079 (-5.797) |
| 26 (26) | Terry Olliff | Northern Illinois | 48.218 (+6.866) |
Findings
The biggest increase in points belongs to Illinois’ Dylan Shumate. His 17.262 point increase was only enough to move him up three spots, but it was a big move in the right direction. The second-biggest mover was also this week’s top-ranked QB, Cece Range.
While Shumate and Range had the biggest increase in points, they didn’t have the largest jump in rankings. That honor belongs to Oklahoma’s Derrick Power. Power shot up from 23 last week into the top 10 this week.
