By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
What a week?!? We had plenty of movement on the leaderboard, so let’s dive in.
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using as unbiased stats as possible. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index attempts to exclude sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.
Note: This is a complicated system that is difficult to explain in an easily digestible way. If you have more questions about how it works, please reach out. We would be more than happy to answer your questions.
|1 (2)||Shaker Mayflower||Pittsburgh||98.889 (+5.066)|
|2 (1)||Loki Gunderson||Clemson||94.006 (-0.353)|
|3 (4)||Charlie Sammons||Kentucky||93.082 (+11.868)|
|4 (11)||Zeus Claydon||Florida State||91.451 (+20.929)|
|5 (3)||Dylan Shumate||Illinois||88.433 (+6.607)|
|6 (6)||Avery Ware||Texas||87.916 (+8.276)|
|7 (12)||Mateo Walker||Miami||87.818 (+17.529)|
|8 (8)||Del Toro||Notre Dame||85.642 (+9.043)|
|9 (9)||Ludwig Friedman||Georgia||82.759 (+7.160)|
|10 (5)||Baker Thomas||Auburn||82.509 (+1.760)|
|11 (17)||Derrick Power||Oklahoma||75.594 (+21.504)|
|12 (10)||Ryan Moreland||Oklahoma State||73.903 (+2.155)|
|13 (18)||Andrei Belov||Ohio State||73.737 (+20.073)|
|14 (7)||Topher Foreman||Michigan||70.713 (-8.283)|
|15 (23)||Brantley Gauci||Oregon||67.850 (+24.352)|
|16 (22)||McKade Alber||Boise State||67.220 (+18.991)|
|17 (19)||Beau Dale||Florida||67.026 (+13.885)|
|18 (21)||Ayden Martinez||North Carolina||66.720 (+13.873)|
|19 (13)||Sean Keohane||Kent State||66.649 (+2.966)|
|20 (16)||Terry Olliff||Northern Illinois||59.449 (+4.503)|
|21 (14)||Greg Cooksey||Eastern Michigan||59.143 (+1.318)|
|22 (15)||Cece Range||Alabama||57.823 (+0.160)|
|23 (20)||Sam Dobbins||Toledo||50.964 (-2.137)|
|24 (26)||Tony Ellis||West Virginia||50.830 (+26.994)|
|25 (25)||Owen Dart||Ohio||41.613 (+6.876)|
|26 (24)||Kyson Carey||Bowling Green||40.660 (+3.754)|
First off, you will notice almost everyone is in the positive. This is because the base score for every player was increased by ten this week. This is something we have done every year after Week One. This is because the scores are so vastly different in Week One that several scores would be over 100. Therefore, if a player’s score change is less than +10 this week, they actually went down in score, not up.
Even when you take the base score increase into account, many players saw big increases in their scores. No one had a larger increase than West Virginia’s Tony Ellis. He nearly had a 27 (truly, 17) point increase this week after a four-touchdown, 365-yard performance against Kent State. Other big jumpers include Oregon’s Brantley Gauci, Oklahoma’s Derrick Power, Florida State’s Zeus Claydon, and Ohio State’s Andrei Belov.
Despite being the league’s largest mover in points, Ellis only jumped two spots on the rankings. The largest jump up the leaderboard belongs to Oregon’s Brantley Gauci. Gauci, who had the second-largest bump in points, had an impressive 502-yard, four-touchdown game against Notre Dame. Other big movers include many of the same names as above (i.e. Zeus Claydon, Derrick Power, and Andrei Belov).