By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using as unbiased stats as possible. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index attempts to exclude sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.
Note: This is a complicated system that is difficult to explain in an easily digestible way. If you have more questions about how it works, please reach out. We would be more than happy to answer your questions.
JTR Rankings
| Rank (Last Week) | Player | Team | JTR Score (Change) |
| 1 (1) | Loki Gunderson | Clemson | 96.777 (+2.502) |
| 2 (2) | Del Toro | Notre Dame | 84.462 (-7.139) |
| 3 (3) | Ludwig Friedman | Georgia | 84.074 (-2.663) |
| 4 (6) | Avery Ware | Texas | 82.016 (+3.576) |
| 5 (9) | Zeus Claydon | Florida State | 79.714 (+2.155) |
| 6 (12) | Derrick Power | Oklahoma | 78.090 (+3.849) |
| 7 (11) | Ryan Moreland | Oklahoma State | 77.607 (+3.204) |
| 8 (7) | Baker Thomas | Aubun | 77.351 (-0.386) |
| 9 (13) | Beau Dale | Florida | 74.598 (+1.136) |
| 10 (15) | Brantley Gauci | Oregon | 74.535 (+2.493) |
| 11 (18) | Topher Foreman | Michigan | 73.155 (+4.433) |
| 12 (5) | Mateo Walker | Miami | 72.522 (-6.401) |
| 13 (8) | Dylan Shumate | Illinois | 71.871 (-5.722) |
| 14 (10) | Sean Keohane | Kent State | 71.409 (-5.615) |
| 15 (19) | Sam Dobbins | Toledo | 71.326 (+4.545) |
| 16 (14) | Ayden Martinez | North Carolina | 71.167 (-1.635) |
| 17 (16) | Charlie Sammons | Kentucky | 70.325 (+1.218) |
| 18 (4) | Shaker Mayflower | Pittsburgh | 70.272 (-10.617) |
| 19 (23) | Andrei Belov | Ohio State | 69.369 (+6.362) |
| 20 (21) | Tony Ellis | West Virginia | 68.340 (+2.777) |
| 21 (17) | Greg Cooksey | Eastern Michigan | 66.058 (+3.035) |
| 22 (24) | Terry Olliff | Northern Illinois | 63.144 (+2.241) |
| 23 (20) | McKade Alber | Boise State | 62.014 (-4.174) |
| 24 (26) | Owen Dart | Ohio | 61.851 (+9.494) |
| 25 (22) | Cece Range | Alabama | 61.839 (-2.629) |
| 26 (25) | Kyson Carey | Bowling Green | 53.572 (+1.215) |
Findings
The largest increase in JTR Score this week belongs to Ohio QB Owen Dart. Dart, who had held last place in the rankings for many weeks, had a big game against Northern Illinois. Not only was his performance good enough to get his team the win, but it also earned him a 9.494-point increase in these rankings. Other big increases belong to Ohio State’s Andrei Belov and Toledo’s Sam Dobbins.
Despite these large score increases, none of the names above were the biggest movers on our list. This week Michigan QB Topher Foreman jumped seven spots up the rankings (from 18 to 11). That is the best improvement in rank this week. Other big movers include Oklahoma’s Derrick Power and Oregon’s Brantley Gauci.
This week we say far more stability at the top of the list than we have to this point. The top three this week are the same top three from last week. We will see if Gunderson, Toro, and Friedman can keep their positions as all three have difficult matchups this week.
