JTR QB Rankings: Season 18, Week 5

Ryan Moreland · September 29, 2023


By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)

How JTR Works

JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using as unbiased stats as possible. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.

For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index attempts to exclude sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.

JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.

Note: This is a complicated system that is difficult to explain in an easily digestible way. If you have more questions about how it works, please reach out. We would be more than happy to answer your questions.

JTR Rankings

Rank (Last Week)PlayerTeamJTR Score (Change)
1 (1)Loki GundersonClemson96.777 (+2.502)
2 (2)Del ToroNotre Dame84.462 (-7.139)
3 (3)Ludwig FriedmanGeorgia84.074 (-2.663)
4 (6)Avery WareTexas82.016 (+3.576)
5 (9)Zeus ClaydonFlorida State79.714 (+2.155)
6 (12)Derrick PowerOklahoma78.090 (+3.849)
7 (11)Ryan MorelandOklahoma State77.607 (+3.204)
8 (7)Baker ThomasAubun77.351 (-0.386)
9 (13)Beau DaleFlorida74.598 (+1.136)
10 (15)Brantley GauciOregon74.535 (+2.493)
11 (18)Topher ForemanMichigan73.155 (+4.433)
12 (5)Mateo WalkerMiami72.522 (-6.401)
13 (8)Dylan ShumateIllinois71.871 (-5.722)
14 (10)Sean KeohaneKent State71.409 (-5.615)
15 (19)Sam DobbinsToledo71.326 (+4.545)
16 (14)Ayden MartinezNorth Carolina71.167 (-1.635)
17 (16)Charlie SammonsKentucky70.325 (+1.218)
18 (4)Shaker MayflowerPittsburgh70.272 (-10.617)
19 (23)Andrei BelovOhio State69.369 (+6.362)
20 (21)Tony EllisWest Virginia68.340 (+2.777)
21 (17)Greg CookseyEastern Michigan66.058 (+3.035)
22 (24)Terry OlliffNorthern Illinois63.144 (+2.241)
23 (20)McKade AlberBoise State62.014 (-4.174)
24 (26)Owen DartOhio61.851 (+9.494)
25 (22)Cece RangeAlabama61.839 (-2.629)
26 (25)Kyson CareyBowling Green53.572 (+1.215)


The largest increase in JTR Score this week belongs to Ohio QB Owen Dart. Dart, who had held last place in the rankings for many weeks, had a big game against Northern Illinois. Not only was his performance good enough to get his team the win, but it also earned him a 9.494-point increase in these rankings. Other big increases belong to Ohio State’s Andrei Belov and Toledo’s Sam Dobbins.

Despite these large score increases, none of the names above were the biggest movers on our list. This week Michigan QB Topher Foreman jumped seven spots up the rankings (from 18 to 11). That is the best improvement in rank this week. Other big movers include Oklahoma’s Derrick Power and Oregon’s Brantley Gauci.

This week we say far more stability at the top of the list than we have to this point. The top three this week are the same top three from last week. We will see if Gunderson, Toro, and Friedman can keep their positions as all three have difficult matchups this week.


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