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JTR QB Rankings: Season 18, Week 6

Ryan Moreland · October 6, 2023

charlie-sammons

By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)

How JTR Works

JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using unbiased stats. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.

For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index excludes sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.

JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.

JTR Rankings

Rank (Last Week)PlayerTeamJTR Score (Change)
1 (1)Loki GundersonClemson97.779 (+1.002)
2 (5)Zeus ClaydonFlorida State83.063 (+3.349)
3 (3)Ludwig FriedmanGeorgia82.002 (-2.072)
4 (2)Del ToroNotre Dame80.781 (-3.681)
5 (7)Ryan MorelandOklahoma State79.567 (+1.960)
6 (8)Baker ThomasAuburn79.097 (+1.746)
7 (4)Avery WareTexas78.426 (-3.590)
8 (6)Derrick PowerOklahoma77.300 (-0.790)
9 (11)Topher ForemanMichigan75.727 (+2.572)
10 (17)Charlie SammonsKentucky75.187 (+4.862)
11 (9)Beau DaleFlorida75.061 (+0.463)
12 (16)Ayden MartinezNorth Carolina74.908 (+3.741)
13 (10)Brantley GauciOregon72.807 (-1.728)
14 (12)Mateo WalkerMiami71.857 (-0.665)
15 (13)Dylan ShumateIllinois70.248 (-1.623)
16 (20)Tony EllisWest Virginia67.970 (-0.370)
17 (14)Sean KeohaneKent State67.853 (-3.556)
18 (18)Shaker MayflowerPittsburgh67.264 (+3.008)
19 (19)Andrei BelovOhio State66.940 (-2.429)
20 (15)Sam DobbinsToledo66.766 (-4.560)
21 (21)Greg CookseyEastern Michigan65.931 (-0.127)
22 (23)McKade AlberBoise State65.794 (+3.780)
23 (24)Owen DartOhio65.541 (+3.690)
24 (25)Cece RangeAlabama65.213 (+3.374)
25 (22)Terry OlliffNorthern Illinois62.061 (-1.083)
26 (26)Kyson CareyBowling Green58.236 (+4.664)

Findings

This week’s biggest improver is Kentucky’s Charlie Sammons. Sammons threw for 406 yards and three touchdowns this week. He also added 62 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown. This fantastic performance gave him a 4.862 boost in points. Other quarterbacks with significant gains were Bowling Green’s Kyson Carey and Boise State’s McKade Alber.

For the first time this season the largest improver in score is also this week’s best improver in rank. Sammons jumped seven spots up the leaderboard thanks to his performance against Pittsburgh. No other QB moved up more than four spots. Other big movers include North Carolina’s Ayden Martinez and West Virginia’s Tony Ellis.

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