By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
The season is winding down and the scores are starting to settle. With that said, we still saw a decent amount of movement on the leaderboard thanks to some impressive performances.
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using unbiased stats. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index excludes sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.
Rank (Previous Rank) | Player | Team | JTR Score (Change) |
1 (1) | Charlie Sammons | LSU | 91.219 (+1.806) |
2 (2) | Noir Royal | Illinois | 85.554 (-0.450) |
3 (9) | Sam Dobbins | Miami | 83.885 (+5.234) |
4 (3) | Brandon Petty | Georgia | 80.624 (-0.901) |
5 (8) | Beau Dale | Florida | 80.376 (+1.633) |
6 (10) | Zeus Claydon | Florida State | 80.028 (+2.551) |
7 (4) | Gunner Rice | West Virginia | 78.901 (-2.594) |
8 (6) | Sean Keohane | Penn State | 78.035 (-1.811) |
9 (5) | Baker Thomas | Auburn | 76.480 (-3.649) |
10 (11) | Greg Cooksey | Michigan | 76.299 (-0.126) |
11 (13) | McKade Alber | Boise State | 75.168 (+0.934) |
12 (7) | Avery Ware | Alabama | 74.744 (-4.519) |
13 (12) | Jay Duke | Texas | 74.646 (-0.123) |
14 (17) | Mateo Walker | Kentucky | 73.607 (+2.981) |
15 (14) | Kolten Powell | USC | 71.752 (-0.765) |
16 (16) | Andrei Belov | Pittsburgh | 71.599 (+0.600) |
17 (15) | Claude DuBois | Oregon | 70.121 (-2.329) |
18 (19) | Del Toro | Notre Dame | 70.079 (+0.579) |
19 (20) | Windham Carter | Baylor | 68.248 (+0.301) |
20 (21) | Brantley Gauci | Ohio State | 66.419 (+0.332) |
21 (18) | Ludwig Friedman | Cincinnati | 66.074 (-4.181) |
22 (24) | Terry Olliff | Oklahoma State | 65.522 (+2.936) |
23 (23) | Sky Sanders | Colorado | 63.954 (+0.385) |
24 (22) | JK Matthews | Syracuse | 62.836 (-3.061) |
25 (27) | Owen Dart | Washington | 61.307 (+1.296) |
26 (25) | Kyson Carey | Tennessee | 60.752 (-1.449) |
27 (26) | Kevin Price | North Carolina | 60.400 (-0.168) |
28 (28) | Luke Cannon | Clemson | 59.345 (+1.108) |
Findings
There was no movement among the top two this week. LSU’s Charlie Sammons took over the spot last week from Noir Royal. This will be Charlie Sammons’ first time having the top spot in back-to-back weeks. The battle at the top will be interesting for these next two weeks.
And that battle has a new participant. Miami’s Sam Dobbins had a 532-yard, five-touchdown performance against Alabama this week. Not only did this help his team get a big win, but it also moved him up our leaderboard. His 5.234-point improvement in his JTR Score was the best this week. He is also the biggest mover after jumping six spots. This is the first time this season that the best improver of score and best improver of rank were the same person. Congrats to Dobbins on a stellar week.