JTR QB Rankings: Season 19, Week 6

Ryan Moreland · February 16, 2024

sam-dobbins

By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)

The season is winding down and the scores are starting to settle. With that said, we still saw a decent amount of movement on the leaderboard thanks to some impressive performances.

How JTR Works

JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using unbiased stats. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.

For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index excludes sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.

JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.

Rank (Previous Rank)PlayerTeamJTR Score (Change)
1 (1)Charlie SammonsLSU91.219 (+1.806)
2 (2)Noir RoyalIllinois85.554 (-0.450)
3 (9)Sam DobbinsMiami83.885 (+5.234)
4 (3)Brandon PettyGeorgia80.624 (-0.901)
5 (8)Beau DaleFlorida80.376 (+1.633)
6 (10)Zeus ClaydonFlorida State80.028 (+2.551)
7 (4)Gunner RiceWest Virginia78.901 (-2.594)
8 (6)Sean KeohanePenn State78.035 (-1.811)
9 (5)Baker ThomasAuburn76.480 (-3.649)
10 (11)Greg CookseyMichigan76.299 (-0.126)
11 (13)McKade AlberBoise State75.168 (+0.934)
12 (7)Avery WareAlabama74.744 (-4.519)
13 (12)Jay DukeTexas74.646 (-0.123)
14 (17)Mateo WalkerKentucky73.607 (+2.981)
15 (14)Kolten PowellUSC71.752 (-0.765)
16 (16)Andrei BelovPittsburgh71.599 (+0.600)
17 (15)Claude DuBoisOregon70.121 (-2.329)
18 (19)Del ToroNotre Dame70.079 (+0.579)
19 (20)Windham CarterBaylor68.248 (+0.301)
20 (21)Brantley GauciOhio State66.419 (+0.332)
21 (18)Ludwig FriedmanCincinnati66.074 (-4.181)
22 (24)Terry OlliffOklahoma State65.522 (+2.936)
23 (23)Sky SandersColorado63.954 (+0.385)
24 (22)JK MatthewsSyracuse62.836 (-3.061)
25 (27)Owen DartWashington61.307 (+1.296)
26 (25)Kyson CareyTennessee60.752 (-1.449)
27 (26)Kevin PriceNorth Carolina60.400 (-0.168)
28 (28)Luke CannonClemson59.345 (+1.108)

Findings

There was no movement among the top two this week. LSU’s Charlie Sammons took over the spot last week from Noir Royal. This will be Charlie Sammons’ first time having the top spot in back-to-back weeks. The battle at the top will be interesting for these next two weeks.

And that battle has a new participant. Miami’s Sam Dobbins had a 532-yard, five-touchdown performance against Alabama this week. Not only did this help his team get a big win, but it also moved him up our leaderboard. His 5.234-point improvement in his JTR Score was the best this week. He is also the biggest mover after jumping six spots. This is the first time this season that the best improver of score and best improver of rank were the same person. Congrats to Dobbins on a stellar week.

dee-frost

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