By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using unbiased stats. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index excludes sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.
| Rank (Previous Rank) | Player | Team | JTR Score (Change) |
| 1 (1) | Charlie Sammons | LSU | 89.554 (-1.665) |
| 2 (2) | Noir Royal | Illinois | 84.514 (-1.040) |
| 3 (3) | Sam Dobbins | Miami | 83.677 (-0.208) |
| 4 (6) | Zeus Claydon | Florida State | 80.430 (+0.402) |
| 5 (4) | Brandon Petty | Georgia | 79.503 (-1.121) |
| 6 (7) | Gunner Rice | West Virginia | 79.094 (+0.193) |
| 7 (5) | Beau Dale | Florida | 77.940 (-2.436) |
| 8 (11) | McKade Alber | Boise State | 77.909 (+2.741) |
| 9 (9) | Baker Thomas | Auburn | 76.754 (+0.274) |
| 10 (8) | Sean Keohane | Penn State | 76.723 (-1.312) |
| 11 (10) | Greg Cooksey | Michigan | 76.521 (+0.222) |
| 12 (14) | Mateo Walker | Kentucky | 75.866 (+2.259) |
| 13* (12) | Avery Ware | Alabama | 75.400 (+0.656) |
| 13* (18) | Del Toro | Notre Dame | 75.400 (+5.321) |
| 15 (16) | Andrei Belov | Pittsburgh | 73.230 (+1.631) |
| 16 (13) | Jay Duke | Texas | 72.941 (-1.705) |
| 17 (21) | Ludwig Friedman | Cincinnati | 71.361 (+5.287) |
| 18 (17) | Claude DuBois | Oregon | 69.795 (-0.326) |
| 19 (15) | Kolten Powell | USC | 69.610 (-2.142) |
| 20 (24) | JK Matthews | Syracuse | 67.119 (+4.283) |
| 21 (22) | Terry Olliff | Oklahoma State | 66.759 (+1.237) |
| 22 (19) | Windham Carter | Baylor | 66.402 (-1.846) |
| 23 (23) | Sky Sanders | Colorado | 65.663 (+1.709) |
| 24 (20) | Brantley Gauci | Ohio State | 63.801 (-2.618) |
| 25 (25) | Owen Dart | Washington | 61.912 (+0.605) |
| 26 (26) | Kyson Carey | Tennessee | 61.350 (+0.598) |
| 27 (27) | Kevin Price | North Carolina | 61.237 (+0.837) |
| 28 (28) | Luke Cannon | Clemson | 56.722 (-2.623) |
Findings
LSU Quarterback Charlie Sammons holds on to the top spot in the rankings for the third straight week. There was no movement in the top three. There is only one week left to go to find out which QB will take home the JTR Crown for Season 19.
Our biggest mover in score this week was Notre Dame’s Del Toro. Toro had a great performance on the air and ground this week against Clemson to help the Irish clinch a playoff spot. Toro narrowly beat out Cincinnati’s Ludwig Friedman, who had himself a great game against West Virginia.
Del Toro was also this week’s biggest mover up the board. It is normally a rare occurrence that the most improved score is also the week’s best mover up the leaderboard. However, this marks the second week in a row that this has happened. The next best mover up the leaderboard was Syracuse JK Matthews.
There was also a tie in JTR Score, which is something that has never occurred before. It is statistically unlikely for it to occur, but Del Toro and Alabama’s Avery Ware have the exact same score this week.
Good luck to every QB in the final week of the season.
