JTR QB Rankings: Season 21, Week 3

Ryan Moreland · September 20, 2024

windham-carter

By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)

The JTR settled down a bit this week after a crazy Week 2. However, that didn’t stop a few players from making massive jumps up the rankings.

How JTR Works

JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using unbiased stats. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.

For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index excludes sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.

JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.

JTR Leaderboard

Rank (Last Week)PlayerTeamJTR Score (Change)
1 (1)Jaylen TyreeOhio State97.651 (-1.084)
2 (2)Himoteo Del EsteOklahoma92.015 (-0.673)
3 (5)Jack SchmidtFlorida87.361 (+3.554)
4 (3)Kevin PriceNorth Carolina86.988 (-3.917)
5 (8)Saint MajorVirginia Tech82.058 (-0.504)
6 (10)Jay DukeAuburn81.650 (+3.764)
7 (9)Zeus ClaydonFlorida State81.196 (+1.193)
8 (4)Owen DartTexas A&M78.931 (-9.842)
9 (11)Jamesyn GoldeUSC78.519 (+3.832)
10 (13)Cole MantellMichigan State75.067 (+2.743)
11 (6)Sean KeohaneLSU74.036 (-9.322)
12 (7)TJ CunningtonKentucky71.069 (-11.724)
13 (17)Gunner RiceWest Virginia70.676 (+1.505)
14 (21)Windham CarterMichigan70.546 (+11.953)
15 (16)Johnny Ray DavisAlabama70.248 (-0.246)
16 (12)JK MatthewsPenn State69.902 (-2.528)
17 (22)Leisa PinkMiami68.243 (+9.754)
18 (15)Noir RoyalNotre Dame67.095 (-4.669)
19 (18)Sterling VerdugoTennessee61.963 (-3.189)
20 (20)Tavon MossClemson60.150 (+0.647)
21 (23)Sky SandersColorado59.331 (+7.653)
22 (19)Brandon PettyGeorgia55.420 (-8.200)
23 (24)Claude DuBoisOregon49.961 (+3.575)

Findings

Ohio State’ Jaylen Tyree once again finds himself at the top spot. This is his second straight week at #1.

Nobody added more to their JTR score this week than Michigan’s Windham Carter. Carter added nearly 12 points to his score with an impressive showing against Miami. The Wolverines may not have gotten the win, but Carter’s performance did greatly impact his score. Others with big score improvement this week were Miami’s Leisa Pink, Colorado’s Sky Sanders, and USC’s Jamesyn Golde.

It is not very common to see a player have the best improvement to score and the best improvement to rank in the same week. However, this week it happened. Carter shot up 7 spots on the JTR Leaderboard, which is a massive jump. As we head into conference play, it will be interesting to see if his rise can continue. Other big movers in rank were Miami’s Leisa Pink, West Virginia’s Gunner Rice, and Auburn’s Jay Duke.

Next week Texas will debut emergency QB Bo Jones, who will be their signal caller for the rest of the season. He will be added to the JTR starting next week. Since the JTR Matrix uses averages (like TD% rather than touchdown total) this won’t be unfair to Jones or the rest of the QBs in the league.

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