By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
We are in the back half of the season now, and the rankings have taken shape. However, that doesn’t mean there isn’t room for movement. A couple of QBs proved that this week.
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using unbiased stats. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index excludes sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.
JTR Leaderboard
| Rank (Last Week) | Player | Team | JTR Score (Change) |
| 1 (6) | Windham Carter* | Michigan | 90.586 (+13.276) |
| 2 (2) | Kevin Price | North Carolina | 88.216 (+0.348) |
| 3 (3) | Jaylen Tyree | Ohio State | 81.118 (-5.720) |
| 4 (15) | Jack Schmidt | Florida | 80.796 (+12.001) |
| 5 (11) | Jamesyn Golde | USC | 78.904 (+6.719) |
| 6 (7) | Spunky Tolbert | Texas | 77.571 (+0.847) |
| 7 (1) | Johnny Ray Davis | Alabama | 76.960 (-13.661) |
| 8 (13) | Himoteo Del Este | Oklahoma | 75.520 (+5.674) |
| 9 (4) | Leisa Pink | Miami | 75.202 (-2.506) |
| 10 (16) | Cole Mantell | Michigan State | 74.986 (+7.115) |
| 11 (5) | Tavon Moss | LSU | 74.177 (-3.300) |
| 12 (14) | Saint Major | Virginia Tech | 72.930 (+3.351) |
| 13 (8) | TJ Cunnington | Kentucky | 72.519 (-3.709) |
| 14 (21) | Jay Duke | Auburn | 71.461 (+10.167) |
| 15 (12) | Bear Michaels | Florida State | 70.738 (-0.296) |
| 16 (9) | Sky Sanders | Colorado | 68.304 (-7.417) |
| 17 (22) | Malcom Streets | Texas A&M | 67.530 (+10.148) |
| 18 (19) | Gunner Rice | West Virginia | 66.628 (+3.441) |
| 19 (17) | Bojack Merriweather | Clemson | 65.028 (-2.110) |
| 20 (20) | Alexa Earl | Oregon | 64.971 (+3.270) |
| 21 (10) | Sterling Verdugo | Tennessee | 63.249 (-9.179) |
| 22 (23) | Brandon Petty | Georgia | 61.184 (+5.911) |
| 23 (18) | Matt Perez | Notre Dame | 58.534 (-4.770) |
| 24 (24) | JK Matthews | Penn State | 55.013 (+3.875) |
Findings
Michigan’s Windham Carter has been on fire as of late. In the last two weeks, he has thrown 10 passing touchdowns in his last two games and no interceptions. That was good enough to propel him to the top spot in the rankings for the first time in his career. He was the only person to set a new career-high ranking this season.
Carter also was the player with the best improvement in score this week. His score has risen by more than 13 points, which is a major move this late in the season. Other big score improvers include Florida’s Jack Schmidt, Auburn’s Jay Duke, and Texas A&M’s Malcom Streets.
Carter went for the triple crown (taking the top spot, biggest score improvement, and biggest mover in the leaderboard), but he fell just short. (By the way, this has never been done.) Florida’s Jack Schmidt had a massive jump of 11 spots in the leaderboard. This is a major move in Week Two. In Week 5, this is incredible. Other big jumpers include Auburn’s Jay Duke, USC’s Jamesyn Golde, and Michigan State’s Cole Mantell.
We are in the home stretch. There is still time to make moves, but you have to play great! Good luck to all 24 gunslingers in the CFSL.
