
By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by their comparison to the league average using as unbiased stats as possible. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index attempts to exclude sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.
Note: This is a complicated system that is difficult to explain in an easily digestible way. If you have more questions about how it works, please reach out. We would be more than happy to answer your questions.
JTR Rankings
Rank (Last Week) | Player | Team | JTR Score (Change) |
1 (4) | McKade Alber | Toledo | 91.091 (+6.340) |
2 (5) | Topher Foreman | Michigan | 87.822 (+3.585) |
3 (13) | Derrick Power | Oklahoma | 84.315 (+10.218) |
4 (2) | Loki Gunderson | Clemson | 84.023 (+4.319) |
5 (1) | Kyson Carey | Bowling Green | 82.606 (-6.569) |
6 (10) | Baker Thomas | Auburn | 81.374 (+2.475) |
7 (7) | Avery Ware | Texas | 81.124 (+1.134) |
8 (6) | Charlie Sammons | Notre Dame | 80.079 (-2.447) |
9 (3) | Ayden Martinez | North Carolina | 78.523 (-6.228) |
10 (8) | Mateo Walker | Miami | 78.507 (-2.180) |
11 (12) | Helix Myers | Pittsburgh | 77.841 (+2.627) |
12 (11) | Ryan Ravenhill | Florida State | 76.423 (-0.811) |
13 (8) | Moses King | Kentucky | 74.328 (+0.493) |
14 (15) | Del Toro | Ohio | 73.409 (+1.244) |
15 (9) | Cece Range | Alabama | 73.067 (-6.679) |
16 (21) | Terry Olliff | Northern Illinois | 72.075 (+6.193) |
17 (18) | Shaker Mayflower | Kent State | 71.969 (+3.012) |
18 (17) | Ludwig Friedman | Georgia | 70.803 (+1.454) |
19 (19) | Sam Dobbins | Boise State | 69.600 (+1.794) |
20 (23) | Beau Dale | Florida | 69.064 (+5.091) |
21 (20) | Ryan Moreland | Oklahoma State | 67.522 (+0.359) |
22 (16) | Tony Ellis | West Virginia | 67.156 (-3.173) |
23 (22) | Brantley Gauci | Oregon | 65.268 (-0.238) |
24 (24) | Greg Cooksey | Eastern Michigan | 62.044 (-0.535) |
25 (25) | Logan Radloff | Ohio State | 60.541 (-1.420) |
26 (26) | Dylan Shumate | Illinois | 47.760 (+0.569) |
Findings
Oklahoma found themselves caught in a tight game against Oregon this week, but that didn’t stop Derrick Power from having a great game. Thanks to that Power shot back up the rankings. His 10.218 bump in score was the largest increase this week. This boost to his point total also gave him the largest jump up the leaderboard this week. Overall, it was a great week for Power.
We still have no quarterbacks that are in the positive (or better than average) in every stat category. Last season we never had a week where this happened. Perhaps this could be seen as evidence that there is more parity in the league now.
We also have a new leader on top of the JTR Rankings. This season has seen far more turnover at the top spot than ever before. No QB has held the top spot for two consecutive weeks so far this season.