By: Ryan Moreland (@ryanmoreland)
How JTR Works
JTR ranks players by comparison to the league average using as unbiased stats as possible. By unbiased stats, we mean stats that don’t show a preference for one style of play over another. For example, we expect a quarterback in an air raid system to throw the ball more often than a quarterback in a multiple set. So comparing the two based on completions wouldn’t be fair. Once we determine stats that we believe to be unbiased, we create a league average. Outperforming the league average earns a player positive points. Stats that fall below the league average will earn a player negative points. Points for each stat are calculated and combined with a base rating given to each player. The combination results in a player’s JTR metric score. 0 is the worst possible score and 100 is the best possible score.
For QBs, the stats we chose to use are completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, interception percentage, passing yards per game, and unique rushing index. The rushing index attempts to exclude sacks from a quarterback’s rush totals to get a more accurate sense of them as a runner. Also, QBs cannot take negative points from the rushing index (outside of fumbles). This is because a running ability for a quarterback is a plus, but not a requirement.
JTR is not a predictive metric. It cannot tell the future. It can only measure what a player has done up to that point.
Note: This is a complicated system that is difficult to explain in an easily digestible way. If you have more questions about how it works, please reach out. We would be more than happy to answer your questions.
JTR Rankings
Rank (Last Week) | Player | Team | JTR Score (Change) |
1 (2) | Loki Gunderson | Clemson | 99.626 (+5.620) |
2 (8) | Del Toro | Notre Dame | 87.987 (+2.345) |
3 (7) | Mateo Walker | Miami | 84.796 (+3.022) |
4 (1) | Shaker Mayflower | Pittsburgh | 84.551 (-14.338) |
5 (5) | Dylan Shumate | Illinois | 82.639 (-5.794) |
6 (4) | Zeus Claydon | Florida State | 82.166 (-9.285) |
7 (9) | Ludwig Friedman | Georgia | 82.130 (-0.629) |
8 (11) | Derrick Power | Oklahoma | 80.663 (+5.069) |
9 (10) | Baker Thomas | Auburn | 79.584 (-2.925) |
10 (6) | Avery Ware | Texas | 77.366 (-10.550) |
11 (14) | Topher Foreman | Michigan | 77.094 (+6.381) |
12 (3) | Charlie Sammons | Kentucky | 76.832 (-16.250) |
13 (19) | Sean Keohane | Kent State | 75.687 (+9.038) |
14 (17) | Beau Dale | Florida | 75.335 (+8.309) |
15 (18) | Ayden Martinez | North Carolina | 74.336 (+7.616) |
16 (12) | Ryan Moreland | Oklahoma State | 71.208 (-2.695) |
17 (15) | Brantley Gauci | Oregon | 70.701 (+2.851) |
18 (21) | Greg Cooksey | Eastern Michigan | 66.459 (+7.316) |
19 (22) | Cece Range | Alabama | 65.861 (+8.038) |
20 (16) | McKade Alber | Boise State | 63.891 (-3.329) |
21 (24) | Tony Ellis | West Virginia | 63.778 (+12.948) |
22 (13) | Andrei Belov | Ohio State | 60.965 (-13.042) |
23 (23) | Sam Dobbins | Toledo | 55.525 (+4.561) |
24 (20) | Terry Olliff | Northern Illinois | 55.468 (-3.981) |
25 (25) | Kyson Carey | Bowling Green | 44.564 (+1.28) |
26 (26) | Owen Dart | Ohio | 42.893 (+3.904) |
Findings
West Virginia QB Tony Ellis had this week’s most significant growth in score. Ellis had 501 total yards and six total touchdowns this week against Ohio. This gave him a near-13-point jump in his JTR score.
Despite Ellis’ fantastic performance and his large score improvement, he was not this week’s biggest mover in rank. That honor belongs to Notre Dame’s Del Toro and Kent State’s Sean Keohane. Both players moved up six spots in the leaderboard this week.